Saturday, November 22, 2008

Top three countries with high unemployment Rate



Source: www.cia.gov
Top three countries with high unemployment Rate:

France (7.5), India (7.1) and USA (6.5)

However, you may not like the comparision, as this is not apple to apple comparision. I am trying to compare unemployment rate of US in 2008 with unemployment rate of France and India (along with other countries France and India have their unemployment data reported in 2007). I could not get the current (Oct 2008) Unemployment data for these countries.

Unemployment rate in US was in 4.x in 2007 but as of Oct 2008, its at 6.5%(so far nearly 1.2 million jobs lost in 2008).

If anyone can give current (Oct/Nov 2008) unemployment figures of all the countries, then I will highly appreciate.

Open for comments.
-Sam

Friday, November 21, 2008

Countrywise - GDP, Inflation and Unemployment Rate






Source: www.cia.gov
Note: Click on the image to see the enlarged table.


Open for comment.
-Sam

Thursday, November 20, 2008

Is Gold a Safe Haven Investment?













No wonder slowing economy, poor corporate earnings, volatile world stock market reducing gas price are pushing the investors towards gold.

Today Gold is trading at $748/ounce, gas is trading at $48/barrel, dollar is weak against yen(94.35 yen = $1). And if I want to look at the misery index (Misery Index (11.04) = Unemployment rate (6.1) + Inflation rate (4.94)). Misery index is touching 11 after 1991 (Bush Sr. era). The inverse correlation is fascinating!

So, we should invest in safe haven, as all pundits are predicting further global slowdown?

Open for comment.
-Sam

Friday, November 7, 2008

Orissa as a Brand?



Lately I have been thinking about Orissa’s image (which I see it as Orissa’s Brand Image), compared to other states in India and as citizens of Orissa - our role & contribution in this process.

Fore more information on Orissa click this link http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Orissa

Brand image/Brand equity is measured on how much its customers are aware of the product/brand. So, in this case, if we consider Orissa as a brand then we have to assess how much brand awareness/recognition/knowledge Orissa has among its customers (India and Rest of the World) and its competitors (other states of India).

Due to our poor economy (thanks to our politicians and their philanthropic nature!!!)…we have been pushed back 20 years – in terms of growth compared to other developed states in India. I am not here to talk about politicians and what have they done for our state, but here to talk about our soft points and where we come to picture to rescue/survive our states brand image. What we could have done and what we should do in the coming years to bring a difference in Orissa. Following are few points which I believe are the reasons why we are not witnessing strong sustainable promising growth. While bringing up the soft point, I would try to suggest few action items for us.

Not until mid nineties, we started to migrate outside Orissa in search of jobs (in a larger scale). Till then people were going outside Orissa, but the percentage of Oriya people working outside Orissa and India were relatively small. This might be for several reasons, one reason which I strongly believe is important to mention. In general Oriyas are not risk-takers, that is we are very much complacent in our little world and are happy in what we earn and lead our life. I do not say this is bad. Being happy with as little as you have is good, but at the same time makes us complacent, and we stop to thrive for more. Time is changing, and we are definitely coming out of the cocoon and spreading out to find more out of life. The good part of doing this is individual growth leading to the growth of the state.

The second reason is related to the first one. This is related to pursuing higher studies outside India. I do not mean to say that we do not have good education system inside India. But the benefit we get studying outside India (especially in USA & UK) is we not only enhance our subject knowledge but also helps to strengthen ourselves in the global map. If we want to look at any country or state which has witnessed growth in last 3-4 decades then that will be for two main reasons.
Either:

They ttracted lots of out-of-state or out-of-country talent inside the state/country (I could not think a better example than USA and Karnataka)
or
They went out and worked in other state/country and invested back in their state or country (no doubt Punjab and Gujarat are the tow eminent states who demonstrated this trend)

I was surprised to know that we do not have a GRE/GMAT coaching center in Orissa! Most of our engineering and science graduate wither do not know about GRE/GMAT or they do not know the importance of getting a degree from a college/university from USA. Again my aim here is not here to compare Indian university/study system with that of USA, but my aim is to give a reason why we should come out of Orissa for higher studies and then go back to Orissa with a knowledge that is hard to beat. And do not forget I want Orissa’s brand image to be spread in other countries. When we come out of Orissa and study outside then we mingle with people and spread the good word and our abilities among them. Rest of World will know our presence and abilities.

In last 8-9 years we have seen a linear increase in educational institutions in Orissa, which is a huge step towards brand recognition. The reason being if we have good educational institutions then we attract students from other states and countries. But when we compare this trend with Karnataka, we are nearly thirty years behind this educational revolution. So, even though we are in right track, we are way behind the developed states. We definitely need to do lots of hard work to succeed in this race for supremacy in talent. Now we have more than 20 Enginering Colleges and more than 5 Medical colleges in Orissa. Only one thing we need to watch is the quality of our education. With growth comes a chance of compromise in quality. So, all the Institution Heads and to some extend politicians to make sure that the quality of our education system is not diluted. Poor laboratory and teaching staffs may lead to this. Companies will come to a region where they can easily find quality talent pool. If we compromise in quality then we will create a situation where companies might go away to other place where they can find quality people.

So, the bottom line of my concern is going forward if we start behaving Orissa is our parent company, and we are here to create value for the company as employee or “Brand Ambassadors” then half of the battle is won. We should create a niche for Orissa in the Indian economy as well as Global economy. We have to constantly try to differentiate ourselves from others to have the competitive advantage in the talent race.

Open for comments.
-Sam

Thursday, November 6, 2008

Obama vs. Economy!


I do not think anyone of us have any disagreement on the historic achievement; when Barack Obama was elected as 44th US President. Even though I was supporting John McCain (me being a big supply-sider: Lower tax leads to prosperity), some where deep inside I am happy about the 'change' Obama is going to bring on the political front. There are two aspects to the change equation; political and business. While I am confident that Obama will be the best American President who will advocate for world peace, green world and better healthcare at the same time I am equally skeptical about his extreme left wing socialistic views.

Don't fix if it ain’t broken! Even though today, Wall Street is broken and Global economy is shaken, I strongly believe that the market will correct itself without any Government regulations. The economic situation in US is bad but is not that bad that it needs any Govt. regulation/intervention. American economy is the most resilient economy in the world. I can understand why Govt. of Iceland and Pakistan is desperate to bring them out of the possible clout of bankruptcy but we are not in that same situation. We are in slight recession and not close to any kind of economic depression or what so ever.

I am scared of couple of things, which the democratic congress and Whitehouse will try to do and will stall the global economy for years to come. Obama, supported by Nancy Pelosi is going to put all possible curb on free trade and increase tariff. On the home front they will increase tax and support labor unions (http://online.wsj.com/article/SB122592993592603103.html), increase tax, eliminate capital gain and will not renew Bush Tax Cut policy; which will bankrupt American companies (example GM, Ford) and will further slow down the economy. Dow is down for last two days and Asian Stocks fell for second day (is it due to falling crude oil.. thank God its at $60/barrel or Obama effect?)

US is considered to be the engine of world economy. I am fearful that, due to all these extreme left wing liberal steps to correct the economy, the Rest of World (RoW) might suffer.

If US slows down further, its going to take down RoW with it.

Open for comment.

-Sam

Wednesday, November 5, 2008

Emotion and Leadership - Family Value


In my first semester, Leadership Management class, we were supposed to write a paper on Leadership Conundrum. When I started analyzing myself, I came up with my leadership conundrum. It goes like this, : "How can I learn to be more patient and control my emotions to become an effective and clear leader?" This problem is nothing new, I think these prevailing issues (patience and emotion) is very common, which each one of us faces in our day-to-day work life.
So, there was nothing new, or innovative I wrote in my paper, but through out the semester, I started looking at myself from a different prospective, which I had never done. I was inquisitive about 'myself' and tried to be 'self aware'. I have been in a leadership position for more than 5 years, during this period of time and my leadership class, I realized that the most important leadership attributes which I need to focus and try to improve would be to be more patient and effectively use my emotions at my work. The amalgamation of these unique skills along with my business and technical acumen (which I have gained in my eight years of work experience) will lead me to be a successful, effective and compassionate leader in the industry. "Emotion", to me is an important attribute in leadership which can make or break a leader. Having realized this, I wanted to know different types of emotions and effects of those emotions in my leadership career.The biggest challenge for me was "How do I balance my emotional intelligence and intellectual intelligence?". This was really the biggest challenge for me, to attain a correct balance between emotional intelligence (Need emotional skills/competencies to address challenge) and intellectual intelligence (Need cognitive skills/competencies to address challenge) in my professional as well as personal life. As defined by World book, Emotional Intelligence (EI) is the ability to understand oneself and to empathize with others. In general in my work experience I have seen that all the leaders (so called leaders!) tend to create an environment that emotion/feeling can not be a part of an efficient leader. This thought process is so widespread that all the co-workers and peers believe this and try to groom themselves believing this hypothesis.
On the other hand, I realized that I am way too emotional professionally and also when it comes to family matters. At first, this was kind of scary for me so I wanted to investigate more on this during our leadership class and during my interviews (I interviewwed few Corporate leaders on Emotions and patience) which were pretty much regarding emotions and its role in leadership/managerial roles. The good thing about the interviews and my readings about articles on emotional intelligence and intellectual intelligence were; I am now convinced that morally sensitive leaders are significant part of a healthy and growing organization and as we move up in the Organization Chart, the role of intellectual quotient reduces and emotional quotient increases. This was quite surprising for me and made me really happy that I was not on wrong track!
However, as I said earlier, I found a perfect balance between emotional and intellectual is very important, I am learning that as I move up in the leadership path, empathy and interpersonal relations will be very important in taking business decisions. As one of the people I interviewed said to me, in most of his recent decisions, when he included the human aspect (which is nothing but his feelings and used his emotional intelligent) to his decisions and tried to think about the decision rationally with his related work experience (intellectual intelligence), the results were significantly appealing, and amazing. In fact, he never realized this, until he started telling me about his experience, when I asked about the importance of emotional intelligent in leadership roles!
This kind of emotional approach in leadership style will lead me to become an ethical leader whose values are driven by mundane notion of trust.
One more thing which really interests me when I am thinking about emotions/compassions/ethics with regard to leadership; which is I believe a person who does not have a healthy personal life can not become an effective leader with clear leadership values. As for me charity begins at home. I believe if I can not be a good son/good husband/good sibling, then I can not be a good leader. I think I did bring this out during one of our class discussion too. If I possess empathy then I can only share empathy with others, or else I will be faking it or will find it hard to share. A person might act differently under different situations/environment (home/office) but his basic principles will remain same. Situations do change but principles remain same. I have two experiences which, kind of make me somewhat believe that I am right on this.
When I was in High School (12th grade), I had a physics professor, he was not married, and had no kids, and his behavior in class was completely different. He was ruthless, reclusive and he was nagging in his behavior. The way he used to treat his students was completely different than the rest of the professors.
The second one is one of my managers in my previous company was a divorcee with no kids. He is in his 40's with no social life and self centered. The only thing he knew was work (without any values and used to work just mechanically), I used to see that, as he does not have anyone at home waiting for him, he used to spend most of his time at work, and make his team stay late. His attitude towards life was very different than others. There used to be a wave of distrust within his team mates, with no clear vision, attrition was at its peak in his group. However, due to the fakeness in the organization and hypocrisy in the management (manipulative management) he sustains his job in the company. He posed like a leader, but in reality he was so far off from a true leader.
On the contrary, I have seen guys/girls who have a happy family life, are more cheerful and lively, full of compassion, and always look at the brighter side in life. For example one of my managers and his wife both used to work in the company, and had one son. I could tell he had a very happy and prosperous family life. And his attitude towards his team was very compassionate, he will try to understand concerns of each team member, he used to make sure that his employees are not over stressed. If someone in his team works over the weekend in order to meet a millstone, then he will make sure to ask that team member whether he would like to take a day off during the weekdays. This kind of healthy interpersonal relationship is highly motivating and creates strong ‘team dynamics'.
Here I am not concluding that a person with unhealthy family life can not be a clear and effective leader; however, would I certainly like to investigate more into this aspect as I feel this has a strong relationship with bringing an emotional aspect to leadership.
I would appreciate any comments...
Thanks
Sam

Customer Centered Brand Management



One of the definitions of Brand equity is "Brand Equity is the value built up in a brand". Brand equity is measured on how much a customer is aware of a particular brand. In general the value of a specific company's brand is calculated by comparing the future revenue from an equivalent non-branded product. Brand equity strongly depends on two aspects, the first being brand knowledge (awareness), and the second one is brand image (this is the emotional attachment of consumers with a particular brand).
A broad definition of Customer Equity is the "total of the discounted lifetime value of all of its customers". The concept of Customer Equity tries to combine Customer Value Management, Brand Management and Retention (relationship) management. The core idea behind Customer Equity is to build more powerful, customer-centered marketing programs that are financially accountable and quantifiable.
Rust, Zenithal and Lemon state that customer equity has three drivers:
Value equity, "the customer's objective assessment of the utility of a brand, based on the perceptions of what is given up for what is received"
Brand equity, "the customer's subjective and intangible assessment of the brand, above and beyond its objectively-perceived value"
Retention equity, "the tendency of the customer to stick with the brand, above and beyond the customer's objective and subjective assessments of the brand."
So, it is evident that Brand Equity alone is not an efficient approach when a Company is trying to meet customer needs and wants and to create the maximum possible customer loyalty and customer retention and in turn financial benefit to the company (Return of Investment, ROI).
Most of the companies understand that customer centrism and growing the lifetime value of their customers are essential for the business to thrive, as companies understand that customers are keeping companies in business. But ironically, not many companies are practicing what they are preaching. Companies should do a reality check and evaluate how they are using Customer Equity or Customer centered Branding.
"Brand may come and go, but customer should stay", this statement is pretty much the mantra of Customer centric Brand Management. Ford Taurus, manufactured by Ford Motor, was phased out on October 27, 2006 after a long production run (7 million), with 2007 being the last model year. The Taurus was ultimately replaced by three cars, each aimed at better covering the markets that the Taurus had competed in. The Ford Five Hundred, a large car; its crossover SUV version, the Ford Freestyle to replace the Taurus Wagon; and the Ford Fusion a midsize car closer in size to the Taurus. This strategy by Ford is to better serve the growing market demand and to effectively compete with Toyota Camry (which replaced Taurus in 1997 as best seller of the year status).
"The customer wants what he/she wants and there should be something for everyone". GM typically uses differentiated marketing strategy for segmenting the target market; two or more segments are serviced each requiring a different marketing mix. GM uses this strategy to make different cars (brands) for different segments. For all of us there should be a niche that takes into account our personality, income and lifestyle, which is the key aspect in reaching each individual consumer and his/her perception. The race to strike into the slimmest of target markets is running at full throttle. The increasingly competitive auto industry is getting "personal" with their ‘clientele', and the main strategy behind this is Customer centered Branding. Whether consumers desire a hybrid-powered SUV, a hot little roadster or a station wagon masquerading as a truck, manufacturers must be ready, willing and able to deliver.
The success of GM's Chevrolet Equinox SUV is one example of how brand extension based on customer needs & wants [which results from adept sub-segmentation strategy (buyers who want a smaller, more car-like SUV than the TrailBlazer)] is the key in success of the Car/brand.
Now I feel that GM is doing the same mistake (blind spot phenomenon) as it did with Oldsmobile in 1990s that is GM's overwhelming focus on growing brand equity is inconsistent with the goal of growing customer equity. This time I see this happening with GM Buick. Buick (average age buyer is over 60 years) is trying to reposition itself and wants to convince young consumers that your product is no longer locked in the past and it has replaced the car and its name too (Buick - LaCrosse, Lucerne). Currently Buick promotions do not include any emotion, which makes it difficult to reach out its target consumers effectively. Buick should give its best effort in bringing back the emotion that it once existed "sense of belonging, recognition as valued customers and comfort". It should give all the salespeople extensive training on new behavior and language designed to give customers a sense of recognition and belonging. Buick is trying to directly appeal to the amygdale of all customers, and should devote more effort on this, as this is a key aspect to attract and retain the old customers. Like Cadillac, Buick should not try to lure two generations. Cadillac could reposition successfully (through its new look and new ad campaigns ‘welcome gentlemen'). But the success of Cadillac does not mean the success of Buick. Buick should continue to attract and market to the older generation, and it is a sizable market.
The cliché' "The only thing constant in life is change" holds good for branding strategy. The above example shows how with time consumer's taste changes, fashions come and go and lifestyle also change. So, companies, which are ready for this change with a correct plan of action, survive.
Few of the recommendations for Managers that will put brands in the service of growing customer equity are:
Replacing traditional brand managers with a new position-the customer segment manager (Bringing Customers to Brand Management Process)
Targeting brands to as narrow an audience as possible (proper segmentation strategy and building brand based on customer segments, the finer the segment, more effective will be the branding strategy)
"Co-creation" (designing goods and services and as well brands with input from consumers) should be encouraged to have a strong customer-brand relationship. This can be achieved by collaborating with customers rather than manipulating with customers.
Developing the capability and the mind-set to hand off customers from one brand to another within the company
Changing the way brand equity is measured by basing calculations on individual, rather than average, customer data.
Do not persist with a brand which lost its punch
Creating a strong brand image is helpful and helps "brand dilution" from occurring when a brand extension fails
Brands should never be scrapped frivolously (retain brands which have excessively desirous customers or aggressive brand managers)
Top Management should revisit their business model to evaluate whether their business model is customer-centric business model or profit-centric business model (replacing shareholder capitalism with stakeholder capitalism)
Usage of Customer Relationship Management (CRM) in Corporate Marketing Strategy to focus on:
Factors important to Customers
Promote a Customer Oriented philosophy
Adopt customer-based measures
The Customer Equity model (comprising of three parameters; Values, Brand, Customer Retention) enables Marketing Managers to determine which of the above three drives/parameters are most critical in driving customer equity in their company. This rational approach enables marketers to quantify the financial benefits (ROI) by increasing one or more of these driving factors. This overall customer centered brand management creates and cultivates long term relationship with customers.
Marketing Manager/Brand Manger should evaluate the degree to which a particular brand provides brand equity or value to the consumer. There are many sources of value a brand can provide to its consumers. For example, how much a brand name (1) stands for attributes that are difficult to evaluate (2) reduces risk of acquiring and using a product (3) reduces the decision process of consumers (4) indicates that the particular product is fully backed should it fail (warranty).
I would appreciate any feedback...
Thanks
Sam